MLB Analytics

Recommended Parlays

Six HR parlay constructions generated from the Top 30 qualified hitters using the HR Parlay Edge model.

Slate

2026-08-11

Candidate Pool

Recommended Parlays

Data Limited

Recommended Tickets

4-Leg HR Parlays

Parlay #1

Randomized Parlay

Randomly paired 4-leg parlay from the Top-30 qualified hitter pool. Zero player overlap across tickets and maximum two hitters from the same team.

4 offenses

Leg 1

Tyler Soderstrom

LHB

AthleticsvsTampa Bay Rays

vs Nick MartinezRHP•Sutter Health Park

Final Score

76.62

Candidate #25

Leg 2

Griffin Conine

LHB

Miami MarlinsvsPittsburgh Pirates

vs Paul SkenesRHP•loanDepot park

Final Score

77.00

Candidate #21

Leg 3

Pete Alonso

RHB

Baltimore OriolesvsMinnesota Twins

vs Bailey OberRHP•Target Field

Final Score

78.38

Candidate #14

Leg 4

Tyler Stephenson

RHB

Cincinnati RedsvsChicago White Sox

vs Sean BurkeRHP•Rate Field

Final Score

78.25

Candidate #17

Parlay #2

Randomized Parlay

Randomly paired 4-leg parlay from the Top-30 qualified hitter pool. Zero player overlap across tickets and maximum two hitters from the same team.

4 offenses

Leg 1

Shohei Ohtani

LHB

Los Angeles DodgersvsKansas City Royals

vs Michael WachaRHP•Dodger Stadium

Final Score

88.25

Candidate #1

Leg 2

Corey Seager

LHB

Texas RangersvsLos Angeles Angels

vs Ryan JohnsonRHP•Angel Stadium

Final Score

87.25

Candidate #4

Leg 3

Royce Lewis

RHB

Minnesota TwinsvsBaltimore Orioles

vs Brandon YoungRHP•Target Field

Final Score

72.88

Candidate #27

Leg 4

Corbin Carroll

LHB

Arizona DiamondbacksvsColorado Rockies

vs Tomoyuki SuganoRHP•Chase Field

Final Score

76.62

Candidate #24

Parlay #3

Randomized Parlay

Randomly paired 4-leg parlay from the Top-30 qualified hitter pool. Zero player overlap across tickets and maximum two hitters from the same team.

4 offenses

Leg 1

Hunter Goodman

RHB

Colorado RockiesvsArizona Diamondbacks

vs Mitch BrattLHP•Chase Field

Final Score

87.62

Candidate #3

Leg 2

Munetaka Murakami

LHB

Chicago White SoxvsCincinnati Reds

vs Nick LodoloLHP•Rate Field

Final Score

78.25

Candidate #15

Leg 3

Ian Happ

Chicago CubsvsWashington Nationals

vs Jake IrvinRHP•Nationals Park

Final Score

80.50

Candidate #13

Leg 4

Alec Burleson

LHB

St. Louis CardinalsvsPhiladelphia Phillies

vs Cristopher SánchezLHP•Busch Stadium

Final Score

72.50

Candidate #29

Parlay #4

Randomized Parlay

Randomly paired 4-leg parlay from the Top-30 qualified hitter pool. Zero player overlap across tickets and maximum two hitters from the same team.

4 offenses

Leg 1

Owen Caissie

LHB

Miami MarlinsvsPittsburgh Pirates

vs Paul SkenesRHP•loanDepot park

Final Score

77.00

Candidate #22

Leg 2

Matt Olson

LHB

Atlanta BravesvsNew York Mets

vs Nolan McLeanRHP•Truist Park

Final Score

82.50

Candidate #7

Leg 3

Jake Bauers

LHB

Milwaukee BrewersvsSan Diego Padres

vs Walker BuehlerRHP•Petco Park

Final Score

82.75

Candidate #6

Leg 4

Francisco Alvarez

RHB

New York MetsvsAtlanta Braves

vs Martín PérezLHP•Truist Park

Final Score

77.00

Candidate #23

Parlay #5

Randomized Parlay

Randomly paired 4-leg parlay from the Top-30 qualified hitter pool. Zero player overlap across tickets and maximum two hitters from the same team.

4 offenses

Leg 1

Wilyer Abreu

LHB

Boston Red SoxvsToronto Blue Jays

vs Dylan CeaseRHP•Rogers Centre

Final Score

82.12

Candidate #9

Leg 2

Ben Rice

LHB

New York YankeesvsSeattle Mariners

vs Bryan WooRHP•Yankee Stadium

Final Score

77.88

Candidate #18

Leg 3

Cal Raleigh

Seattle MarinersvsNew York Yankees

vs Ryan WeathersLHP•Yankee Stadium

Final Score

86.88

Candidate #5

Leg 4

Jose Siri

RHB

Los Angeles AngelsvsTexas Rangers

vs Cody BradfordLHP•Angel Stadium

Final Score

81.75

Candidate #12

Parlay #6

Randomized Parlay

Randomly paired 4-leg parlay from the Top-30 qualified hitter pool. Zero player overlap across tickets and maximum two hitters from the same team.

4 offenses

Leg 1

Yordan Alvarez

LHB

Houston AstrosvsSan Francisco Giants

vs Carson WhisenhuntLHP•Oracle Park

Final Score

69.00

Candidate #30

Leg 2

Esmerlyn Valdez

RHB

Pittsburgh PiratesvsMiami Marlins

vs Eury PérezRHP•loanDepot park

Final Score

72.50

Candidate #28

Leg 3

Bryce Harper

LHB

Philadelphia PhilliesvsSt. Louis Cardinals

vs Andre PallanteRHP•Busch Stadium

Final Score

88.00

Candidate #2

Leg 4

Kazuma Okamoto

RHB

Toronto Blue JaysvsBoston Red Sox

vs Patrick SandovalLHP•Rogers Centre

Final Score

82.12

Candidate #10

Candidate Rankings

Top 30 Parlay Candidates

Ranked by Final Parlay Score with batter and pitcher handedness shown for quick matchup context.

Rank	Batter	Pitcher	Final	Data
#1	Shohei Ohtani LHB Los Angeles Dodgers vs Kansas City Royals	Michael WachaRHP	88.25	FULL
#2	Bryce Harper LHB Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals	Andre PallanteRHP	88.00	FULL
#3	Hunter Goodman RHB Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks	Mitch BrattLHP	87.62	FULL
#4	Corey Seager LHB Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels	Ryan JohnsonRHP	87.25	FULL
#5	Cal Raleigh SH Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees	Ryan WeathersLHP	86.88	FULL
#6	Jake Bauers LHB Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres	Walker BuehlerRHP	82.75	FULL
#7	Matt Olson LHB Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets	Nolan McLeanRHP	82.50	FULL
#8	Andrew Pinckney RHB Washington Nationals vs Chicago Cubs	Shota ImanagaLHP	82.50	LIMITED
#9	Wilyer Abreu LHB Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays	Dylan CeaseRHP	82.12	FULL
#10	Kazuma Okamoto RHB Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox	Patrick SandovalLHP	82.12	FULL
#11	Riley Greene LHB Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians	Tanner BibeeRHP	82.00	FULL
#12	Jose Siri RHB Los Angeles Angels vs Texas Rangers	Cody BradfordLHP	81.75	FULL
#13	Ian Happ SH Chicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals	Jake IrvinRHP	80.50	FULL
#14	Pete Alonso RHB Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins	Bailey OberRHP	78.38	FULL
#15	Munetaka Murakami LHB Chicago White Sox vs Cincinnati Reds	Nick LodoloLHP	78.25	FULL
#16	Jac Caglianone LHB Kansas City Royals vs Los Angeles Dodgers	Blake SnellLHP	78.25	LIMITED
#17	Tyler Stephenson RHB Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox	Sean BurkeRHP	78.25	FULL
#18	Ben Rice LHB New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners	Bryan WooRHP	77.88	FULL
#19	Junior Caminero RHB Tampa Bay Rays vs Athletics	Mason BarnettRHP	77.62	FULL
#20	Jase Bowen RHB San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers	Kyle HarrisonLHP	77.25	LIMITED
#21	Griffin Conine LHB Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates	Paul SkenesRHP	77.00	FULL
#22	Owen Caissie LHB Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates	Paul SkenesRHP	77.00	FULL
#23	Francisco Alvarez RHB New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves	Martín PérezLHP	77.00	FULL
#24	Corbin Carroll LHB Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies	Tomoyuki SuganoRHP	76.62	FULL
#25	Tyler Soderstrom LHB Athletics vs Tampa Bay Rays	Nick MartinezRHP	76.62	FULL
#26	Francisco Lindor SH New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves	Martín PérezLHP	75.00	FULL
#27	Royce Lewis RHB Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles	Brandon YoungRHP	72.88	FULL
#28	Esmerlyn Valdez RHB Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins	Eury PérezRHP	72.50	FULL
#29	Alec Burleson LHB St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies	Cristopher SánchezLHP	72.50	FULL
#30	Yordan Alvarez LHB Houston Astros vs San Francisco Giants	Carson WhisenhuntLHP	69.00	FULL

Model note: Final Parlay Score uses 55% Qualification Strength, 25% HR Environment, and 20% Platoon Advantage. Qualification Strength scores 2/4, 3/4, and 4/4 #1 category finishes at 80, 90, and 100. Pitcher Vulnerability has 0% influence on the Final Parlay Score. Parlay #3 is randomized within strong eligible combinations, Parlays #4 and #6 are longshot constructions, and Parlay #5 is a calculated strong ticket. DATA LIMITED is a warning rather than an automatic exclusion. Analytics are informational and do not guarantee outcomes.